UFC 100 Predictions
This year’s most anticipated MMA event UFC 100 will be taking place this Saturday night, July 11 at Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas. The card is stacked to say the least and features six of the top fighters in the world today. Below are my predictions on the main event:
Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir – UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
This is the second time these two will have squared off in the Octagon. At UFC 81 Mir defeated Lesnar by leg lock submission 90 seconds into the first round in their previous encounter. In that fight Lesnar was able to get a take down just seconds into the fight and seemed to be in control early by using his size and strength advantage to pound Mir early. Mir was able to keep his composure and took advantage of a Lesnar mistake by being able to get him into a leg lock and get Lesnar to tap. Lesnar has admitted that he abandoned his game plan in the first fight which was to stand and strike with Mir and use his power and reach to his advantage. I look for Lesnar to stick to that game plan this time around and wear down the smaller Mir in the same way that Lesnar was able to over power Randy Couture in his last fight in which he captured the UFC Heavyweight Title. If Mir is able to weather the striking onslaught that is sure to come from Lesnar and take the fight to the ground then I like his chances of using his Brazilian jiu-jitsu skills to score a second victory over Lesnar. Mir looked impressive in his last fight with a TKO victory over Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira while Lesnar has rebounded from the first defeat of his career with impressive victories over Heath Herring and Couture. Lesnar lost to Mir the first time around because he got caught after making a mistake. I don’t see him making that same mistake twice. My prediction: Lesnar by TKO in the second round.
Georges St. Pierre vs. Thiago Alves – UFC Welterweight Title Bout
UFC Welterweight Champion Georges St. Pierre is arguably the best pound for pound fighter in mixed martial arts today. He dominated B.J. Penn in his last fight to the point where Penn’s corner threw in the towel after the fourth round. No matter what persona a fight takes on, GSP has proved time and time again that he has ability to adapt to any in ring situation. Alves enters this contest on a seven fight winning streak including victories over Josh Koscheck and Matt Hughes. Five of those seven victories were by KO or TKO. On the surface, it looks as though Alves should have the advantage with his impressive striking ability while GSP should have the upper hand if the fight gets taken to the ground. With all that being said, I like GSP’s ability to adapt to a stand up contest better than I do Alves ability to adjust to a potential ground game. My prediction: St. Pierre by decision
Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping – Middleweight Bout
The two coaches from The Ultimate Fighter Season Nine will finally get the chance to settle their differences in the octagon. Henderson is a well accomplished veteran having simultaneously held the light heavyweight and middleweight championships while he competed in PRIDE. Bisping is one of the best young fighters in the world of today having started off his career with an impressive 17-1 record. Both fighters possess strong striking skills with Henderson having the advantage on the ground with his superior wrestling skills. In the end I think that the more experienced Henderson will be able to use wrestling to his advantage and take Bisping out of his comfort zone. My prediction: Henderson by decision
Jon Fitch vs. Paul Thiago – Welterweight Bout
Fitch is one of the top welterweights in the world and has only lost once in his last 17 fights (a decision loss to St. Pierre at UFC 87). Thiago enters this fight undefeated after scoring a TKO victory against the always tough Koscheck in his last fight. That victory was a departure from Thiago’s usual strength which his Brazilian jiu-jitsu skills. Fitch has a solid ground game with a great wrestling background. In addition to his skills on the mat, Fitch has a better striking skill set and should be able to use it to his advantage. My prediction: Fitch by TKO in the second round.
Yoshihiro Akiyama vs. Alan Belcher – Middleweight Bout
Having competed previously for DREAM and K-1, Akiyama will make his UFC debut against the always tough striker Alan Belcher. Akiyama has better take down and submission skills and should be able to use that to his advantage. My prediction: Akiyama by second round submission